Welcome to Monday's regular recap of the fundamentals that brought volatility in the past trading week.
The biggest surprises came from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the United Kingdom.
Read on to keep up to date!
According to the preliminary estimate, the HCOB Composite PMI fell to a three-month low in May 2023.
On Wednesday, we focused on the incoming inflation data from the UK, which was surprising.
Tuesday's US PMI data came in above market estimates.
The main event of last week was the meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, which brought volatility to the market with its rhetoric, and in response the New Zealand dollar began to weaken.
The start of the week is likely to be weak in the UK and the US through the holidays.
Welcome to our regular Monday recap of the most important fundamentals we've been following over the past week.
Read on to keep up to date!
On Wednesday, we got the current inflation rate figures for the euro area, which offered no surprises.
Tuesday's data from the UK labour market made the market slightly nervous.
The end of the week closed with Fed President Jerome Powell's speech, who kept to the topic of inflation.
Tuesday's Canadian inflation numbers surprised markets when they showed a rise.
In the current trading week, Wednesday will be the most crucial for us, where we will focus our attention on the meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, which is expected to raise its base interest rate by 25 basis points.
Sources:
Last trading week was quite modest for the incoming data. A few more interesting events came only from the UK and the US.
Read on to keep up to date!
On Thursday, the Bank of England raised its base rate by 25 basis points, as expected.
On Wednesday, the market focused on the incoming inflation data from the US, which was rather negative for the US dollar.
We do not expect any central bank meetings this week. The market's attention will be focused mainly on Tuesday's UK labour market data, due at 8am.
Sources:
Welcome to our regular Monday recap of the most important fundamentals we've been following over the past week.
The latter was marked by central banks that surprised the markets to some extent.
Read on to keep up to date!
The European Central Bank raised its key interest rate by 25 basis points at its May meeting, signalling a slowdown in the pace of policy tightening.
At its Wednesday meeting, the Fed raised interest rates by 25 basis points, as the market expected.
Along with the US, the Canadian labour market numbers came in on Friday, which, like the US ones, were positive/bullish for the CAD.
At its meeting on Wednesday, the Czech National Bank left its key interest rate unchanged, as expected.
This week will bring less data. Still, some will be important for us.
On Wednesday, we will be interested in data on the US inflation rate, which will come at 14:30.
Sources:
Welcome to our regular Monday recap of the most important events we focused on in the last trading week.
The latter was somewhat dead on new incoming data, but a few things happened anyway that are good to remember.
Read on to keep up to date!
The week kicked off with a speech by ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel, who mentioned that a 50bp rate hike is not off the table at the central bank's next meeting.
US GDP data showed us last week that the US economy grew by an annualised 1.% in Q1 2023, according to a preliminary estimate.
Wednesday's inflation in Australia showed us a decline, which in itself is negative news for AUD.
On Friday, we turned our attention to the Bank of Japan meeting, which did not bring any change as expected.
The current trading week will be a bit more varied for incoming data.
On Tuesday morning (6:30) we have the RBA meeting, which is expected to pause, as we mentioned above.
Sources:
Welcome to our regular Monday recap. Last week, the markets delivered mainly inflation data, which is where we focused our attention.
Read on to keep up to date!
On Wednesday, we focused our attention on inflation in the euro area. Headline annual inflation delivered its fifth consecutive month of decline and is at its lowest level since February 2022. Still, it remains high...
We also got inflation numbers from the UK on Wednesday, which were not positive on the face of it, but with headline inflation still in double digits, it's building up for the Bank of England.
The latest inflation data also came from Canada, where the annual headline inflation rate fell to 4.3 %, the lowest since August 2021.
Last but not least, on Thursday we turned our attention to New Zealand inflation data, which disappointed the market a bit.
There will be much less of that this week.
On Wednesday, we turn our attention to inflation in Australia (3:30), where lower numbers are expected.
Sources:
Welcome to our regular Monday recap of the most important fundamentals that influenced our trading last week.
He brought us some data, especially from the USA and Canada.
Read on to keep up to date.
From the euro area, last week we received only the month-on-month retail sales data, which came in as expected.
Last week's Australian labour market numbers surprised the market significantly.
The Bank of Canada (BOC) left its key interest rate unchanged on Wednesday, meeting market expectations.
Last week's expected news was the current inflation rate in the US, which brought lower numbers and the USD weakened in response to the data.
This week will bring us mainly inflation data. On Tuesday at 14:30 the latest Canadian inflation data will be released.
Sources:
Welcome to the Easter recap of an important fundamental we focused on last business week.
Two central banks were meeting and we could learn something from each of them.
Read on to keep up to date!
Last week we only got PMI data from the eurozone, which was mostly positive for the euro except for the manufacturing sector.
We also got PMI data from the UK which, unlike the Eurozone, showed lower numbers and an overall negative for the British Pound.
The Reserve Bank of Australia left rates unchanged as expected at its April meeting.
In contrast, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand surprised the markets on Wednesday.
The start of the current trading week will be slow through the Easter holidays.
Interesting data that we will focus on will come on Wednesday from the USA and Canada.
Sources:
Welcome to our regular Monday recap, where you will find a summary of the most important news that affected our trading in the past week.
In the summary, you will also find a description of our outlook for the EUR/CAD currency pair, which we sent to the group during the week, and our outlook for the current trading week.
Read on to keep up to date!
At the end of the week, preliminary inflation data in the euro area were released, which the market had been waiting for all week. Prior to the data, we were able to watch ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane's comments that rates in the Eurozone need to rise.
We didn't get much from the US either. More interesting data came at the end of the week. In the last 3 months of 2022, the US economy grew by 2.6 %.
On Wednesday, the Czech National Bank left the base interest rate at its current level of 7 %.
TIP: watch the recording of the CNB press conference
This week will again be much richer in incoming data that could bring volatility to the market.
On Tuesday, we'll turn our attention to the RBA meeting, which comes at 6:30am.
Sources:
Welcome to Monday's review of the most important fundamental that has been with us over the past week.
It was packed with central banks and we could expect a few surprises.
Read on and stay up to date!
Not much data came out of the euro area last week. On Friday, we waited only for the release of the preliminary PMI numbers, which came out mostly positive for the euro except for manufacturing.
On Wednesday, the day before the BOE meeting, UK inflation data was released, which positively surprised markets but created more pressure on the Bank of England.
The biggest event last week that we focused our attention on was Wednesday's Fed meeting, which decided to raise the benchmark interest rate by an estimated 25 bp.
At its meeting on Thursday, the Swiss National Bank raised its key interest rate by 50 basis points to 1.5 %, according to market estimates.
The current trading week will be much weaker in terms of fundamentals. At least as far as scheduled data releases are concerned.
The first Australian inflation numbers we will focus on will come on Wednesday morning (1:30).
Sources:
English 
Czech 
Polish